This is my first ever time doing this, but I love college football and I’ve had the gambling itch since I was in pre-school (my dad had me reading point spreads at the age of four, probably not the best parenting decision at the time.) I’m gonna give you five bets this week, that hopefully can help you make some money on Saturday, but if you want a more extensive breakdown of some quality bets you can make this weekend, you can check out Josh Parcell’s Take the Points betting preview for week three. He gives some great insight every week on games you should be betting and to be completely transparent, his work inspired me to start making my own picks in the first place, so check his content out!
Oklahoma (-18) at Iowa State, 12:00 PM ET, ABC
I might be crazy for this one, but I love what Lincoln Riley and the Sooners have shown so far in 2018. They outscored Florida Atlantic and UCLA 112-35 in their first two games granted both were at home, the Sooners still have been one of the most impressive teams in the country. Kyler Murray is balling out already, scoring seven total touchdowns and has found a rapport with receiver Marquise Brown, who’s averaging 22 yards per catch and catching a touchdown in each of Oklahoma’s first two games.
This game also feels emotional for the Sooners who will have revenge on their minds, after losing last season 38-31 to the Cyclones ending their 18-game winning streak against them. Jack Trice Stadium is always a tough place for opposing teams to play and Iowa State definitely is gonna get up for this one, but I think the Murray-Brown connection keeps firing with Rodney Anderson getting the Sooner running game going and Oklahoma avenges last year’s loss. Plus, Senior quarterback Kyle Kempt who threw three touchdowns in the Cyclones win last year, could miss the game with an ankle injury. Which could lead to an already limited Cyclones offense, being even more limited against an improving and surging Oklahoma defense.
Oklahoma 45, Iowa State 20
Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh (+3.5), 12:30 PM ET, ACC Network
I know the Panthers got thrashed last week at home against Penn State 51-6, so the confidence in Pat Narduzzi’s team isn’t too high currently. The game was a bit closer however, than the score may indicate as it was only 14-6 at halftime and 21 of Penn State’s 51 points came during garbage time in the fourth quarter. Pitt’s defense also had some bright spots in the loss, holding the Nittany Lions to 4/12 on third down conversions and forcing two fumbles, both came from freshman running back Ricky Slade though and not Miles Sanders. I think Kenny Pickett is more efficient this week and protects the ball for the Panthers, while Qadree Ollison runs all over the Yellow Jackets defense to keep away the ball from Paul Johnson’s clock wasting offense. I’m not super confident in this one either way, but I like Pitt to bounce back at home this week, take the home dog here.
Pittsburgh 31, Georgia Tech 27
Boise State at Oklahoma State (Over 65), 3:30 PM ET, ESPN
In a week full of fantastic games this match-up could prove to be one of the best between the Broncos and Cowboys, this has shootout written all over it. Both these offenses are averaging over 55 points per game in the first two games and neither defense was tested in either one of those outings, that will definitely change come Saturday afternoon in Stillwater. Brett Rypien and Taylor Cornelius are two of the most underrated signal callers in the country and should go toe to toe in this one, bet the over and don’t blink.
Oklahoma State 48, Boise State 41
Alabama at Ole Miss (+21.5), 7:00 PM ET, ESPN
I hate betting against Nick Saban and Alabama, probably no other team has lost me more money in the least five years as a bettor, going against them than the Crimson Tide. However, I’m feeling the itch to doubt them once again here against an Ole Miss team that I think people are vastly underrating. Jordan Ta’amu is electric at quarterback for the Rebels and he has a plethora of weapons to utilize around him. Scottie Phillips is a workhorse in the backfield, while receivers A.J. Brown, Braylon Sanders and D.K. Metcalf make up one of the most talented groups in the country. The Rebels since 2014 have also been a thorn in the side so to say to Bama, splitting the series 2-2 and outscoring Nick Saban’s team 109-102 in three of the team’s last four meetings. I’m not sure Ole Miss’ defense has enough to contain Tua Tagovailoa and Alabama’s offense to win this one, but they’ve got enough firepower of their own offensively to keep it competitive. Don’t sleep on the Rebels, take the points.
Alabama 51, Ole Miss 38
Ohio State at TCU (+13), 8:00 PM ET, ABC
The Buckeyes could be the nation’s most talented team, Dwayne Haskins, J.K. Dobbins and Mike Weber are a terrific trio out of the backfield offensively, while Nick Bosa, Dre’Mont Jones and Kendall Sheffield lead one of the scariest defenses in the country. But this TCU team isn’t Oregon State or Rutgers, Gary Patterson’s group has won eleven games in three of the last four seasons and more importantly gets Ohio State at home in this one. Shawn Robinson and the o-line’s combined inexperience worries me, but with the running back duo of Darius Anderson and Sewo Olonilua in the backfield, plus KaVontae Turpin and Jalen Reagor on the outside, Robinson’s got plenty of help to get him through this one. The Horned Frogs defense is more than capable too, Ben Banogu is a terror off the edge and could be in Haskins face all night, while Ty Summers is a tackling machine and the heart of Patterson’s defense. I’m pretty tempted to take TCU to win this one straight up, I think a special teams play from Turpin and turnovers are the difference for the Horned Frogs in Amon G. Carter Stadium on Saturday night.
TCU 35, Ohio State 28